US stocks rose slightly on Monday, while major European markets fell, as investors looked ahead to the release of US economic data that was delayed by the government shutdown.
This week’s calendar is packed with both postponed and scheduled economic data releases, following an end to the longest US government shutdown in history last week.
The lineup includes September’s US jobs report, due to be released on Thursday. According to a research note on Monday, Deutsche Bank (DBK.BE) economists expect a sharp rebound in payrolls, forecasting headline and private payrolls to increase by 75,000, up from the 22,000 jobs added in August.
August’s US construction spending data is due later today, while factory orders data is slated for release on Tuesday, followed by trade balance figures on Wednesday.
The minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) October meeting are also set to be released on Wednesday, which investors will be looking at closely for any clues as to central bankers’ thinking when it comes to December’s interest rate decision.
Richard Hunter, head of markets at Interactive Investor, said that “comments from the White House that some of the economic data which had been due during the impasse may not be released at all added to concerns about the next interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve.”
He added: “Investors had been pricing in an almost certain cut, particularly given the weakness of the labour market and a levelling of inflation, but the likelihood has now fallen to less than 50% given the possibility that the Fed may decide to wait until full visibility has been restored, which could well spill over to next year.”
In the UK, meanwhile, investors will be keeping an eye on the latest inflation data, with October’s consumer price index (CPI) reading due out on Wednesday.
The European Union’s October inflation print is also scheduled to be released on Wednesday.
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The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) dipped 0.2% to 9,682 points in afternoon trading.
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The DAX (^GDAXI) in Germany tumbled 0.9%.
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Over in Paris, the CAC 40 (^FCHI) declined 0.6%.
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The pan-European STOXX 600 (^STOXX) fell 0.5%.
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In the US, the main S&P 500 (^GSPC) edged 0.1% higher, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) advanced 0.2% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) hovered around the flatline shortly after the market open on Wall Street.
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The pound was muted against the dollar (GBPUSD=X) hovering at $1.3168.
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Budget uncertainty drags down UK house prices
Yahoo Finance UK’s Pedro Goncalves writes:
The UK average new seller asking price dropped by 1.8%, a decrease of £6,589, which brings the national average house price to £364,833 – the steepest November decline in more than a decade amid growing anxiety about potential property tax changes in the upcoming budget.
The fall exceeds the typical November decline of 1.1% observed over the past decade, according to figures from Rightmove (RMV.L). A high number of homes for sale is intensifying competition, while rumours of new taxes aimed at higher value properties have encouraged buyers to wait.
More than a third of listed homes (34%) have had at least one asking-price reduction with the average cut being 7%, the highest level since February 2024.
Read more on the story here.
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