Thomasville, North Carolina-based Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) is one of the largest North American less-than-truckload (LTL) motor carriers and provides regional, inter-regional, and national LTL services. With a market cap of $29.2 billion, Old Dominion’s offerings also include various value-added services, including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting.
The company has significantly underperformed the broader market over the past year. ODFL stock prices have plunged 21.3% on a YTD basis and 38.7% over the past 52 weeks, compared to the S&P 500 Index’s ($SPX) 16.5% gains in 2025 and 14.5% returns over the past year.
Narrowing the focus, ODFL has also underperformed the industry-focused iShares Transportation Average ETF’s (IYT) 8% uptick in 2025 and marginal 29 bps dip over the past 52 weeks.
Old Dominion Freight Line’s stock prices observed a marginal uptick in the trading session following the release of its Q3 results on Oct. 29. The company has continued to face pressure on its topline due to a decline in volumes. Due to a 7.9% decrease in LTL shipments per day and a 1.2% decrease in LTL weight per shipment, the company’s overall LTL tons per day declined 9% compared to the year-ago quarter. This was partially offset by pricing gains. Overall, the company’s topline came in at $1.4 billion, down 4.3% year-over-year, but 70 bps above the Street’s expectations.
Meanwhile, its adjusted EPS dropped 10.5% year-over-year to $1.28, but exceeded the consensus estimates by 4.9%.
For the full fiscal 2025, ending in December, analysts expect ODFL to deliver an adjusted EPS of $4.81, down 12.2% year-over-year. The company has a mixed earnings surprise history. While it surpassed the Street’s bottom-line estimates thrice over the past four quarters, it missed the projections on one other occasion.
Among the 23 analysts covering the ODFL stock, the consensus rating is a “Hold.” That’s based on seven “Strong Buys,” one “Moderate Buy,” 12 “Holds,” and three “Strong Sells.”






